ASPO-5 CONFERENCE PROGRAM
(Updated July 15, 2006)
18-19 July 2006 – Parco di San Rossore, Pisa
Sunday, July 16. from 7 p.m., Informal meeting of the participants at the "Caffetteria Dantesca" pub in Pisa, Piazza Dante Alighieri,n. 8. About 10 minutes walking from the central station and 10 minutes walking from the Pisa Tower
Monday, July 17
All day: ASPO Committees meetings, Grand Hotel Duomo, Via S.Maria, 94 - PISA
14:30-18:00 Registration – Grand Hotel Duomo - Via S.Maria, 94 - PISA
18:00 – Reception offered by the Mayor of Pisa, City Hall, Pisa - Palazzo Gambacorti, Piazza XX Settembre.
18:30 – Projection of the film “The Power of Community” (City Hall, Pisa) (limited number of seats available)
Tuesday 18, Parco di San Rossore - Pisa
MAIN SESSION
8:30-10:30 Registration
9:15-9:20 Ugo Bardi (ASPO-Italy), Introduction to the conference
9:20-9:30 Sergio Paglialunga (Director of the San Rossore Park) Welcome Address
9:30-9:45 Marino Artusa (environment ministry of the Tuscan Region) Welcome address on behalf of the Tuscan Regional Government
9:45 - 9:55 Fabio Roggiolani (Tuscan Regional Council) Renewable Energy and Natural Capital
9:55 - 10:15 Alfonso Pecoraro Scanio (Italian Ministry of the Environment). Energy Policy in Italy.
10:15 -10:30 Eamon Ryan (Irish Parliament) Energy Policy in Ireland and Europe
10:30- 11:10 Colin Campbell (ASPO Honorary Chairman) – Keynote speech; The Age of Oil in Perspective
11:10-11:30 coffee break
1st session: PEAK OIL I
Chairman: Rui Namorado Rosa
11:30-12:00 Kjell Aleklett (President, ASPO international), A world addicted to Oil, it is time to Sober up
12:00-12:30 Richard Heinberg, (New College of California; Post Carbon Institute) The Oil Depletion Protocol: A Plan to Avert Oil Wars, Terrorism, and Economic Collapse
12:30 – 13:00 Chris Skrebowsky (ODAC and Petroleum Review), Peak Oil - the Emerging Reality
13:00 – 14:10 lunch
2nd session: PEAK OIL II
Chairman: Roger Bentley
14:10 - 14:50 Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corp.) Mitigation of Peak Oil - More Numbers
Keynote Speech
14:50 – 15:20 Jean Laherrere (ASPO-France), Uncertainty on data and forecasts
15:20 – 15:45 Pierre René Bauquis (ASPO-France) What future for hydrocarbons with the incoming peaks of oil and gas?
15:45 – 16:10 Jean Marie Bourdaire (ASPO-France) World Energy and Economy: What perspectives to 2050?
3rd session ECONOMICS AND MARKETS
Chairman: Klaus Illum
16:10 – 16:40 Mamdouh G. Salameh, (Oil Market Consultancy Service/World Bank) Peak Oil and the Rising Crude Oil Prices
16:40 – 17:10 Andrew McKillop (Ecohabitat, and Pakistan Wind Energy Programme), The impossibility of "market solutions" to Peak Oil, the emerging financial, monetary and economic crisis, and Energy Transition
17:10 – 17:30 Luca Barillaro (Compendium Consulting), New financial products: their impact on energy markets
17:30 - drinks
17: 30 – 19:30 POSTER SESSION
20:00 – social dinner -
Wednesday, July 19
4th session MODELLING
Chairman: Jean Laherrere
9:00 – 9:40 Dennis Meadows, (Laboratory for Interactive Learning Durham, NH, USA)– Keynote speech, Peak oil and the limits to growth
9:40-10:10 Charles Hall (State University of New York) EROI: The Key Variable in Assessing Alternative Energy Futures
10:10-10:40 Renato Guseo, University of Padova. World Oil Depletion: Diffusion Models, Price Effects, Strategic and Technological Interventions
10:40 -10:55 Anton Trijssenaar (Independent Expert) Jeu de Joule: a world energy model based on system dynamic concepts
10:55 -11:10 Bertrand Michel (Institut Francais du Petrole) Oil Production : A probabilistic model of Hubbert’s curve
11:10-11:30- coffee break
5th session: GAS AND COAL
Chairman: Mariano Marzo
11:30 - 12:00 Peter Gerling (BGR, Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources, Germany), Coal - the prime energy of the future?
12:00 -12:30 Marek Kolodzej, (University of Illinois) The North American Natural Gas Crisis
12:30 -13:00 Francesco Racheli (GE – Oil and Gas), Technology evolution to monetize 'stranded GAS'
13:00 -14:00 lunch
_________________________________________
Afternoon 19
6th session GLOBAL ISSUES I
Chairman: Klaus Bitzer
14:00-14:40 Jeremy Leggett: (SolarCentury), Keynote Speech Peak oil, climate change, and the daunting arithmetic of carbon fuels.
14:40-15:10 Paul Metz (Integer Consult), Peak Oil and Corporate Social Responsibility - CSR
15:10-15:40 Robert Hopkins (Transition Culture) Plan B - enabling relocalisation as a response to peak oil
15:40- 16:10 Folke Gunther (Holon Ecosystem Consultants) Oil depletion and food depletion
7th session GLOBAL ISSUES II
Chairman: Kjell Aleklett
16:20-16:50 Terence Ward, (Independent Expert) Iran and the US - Confrontation, Oil Disruption and the Impact
16:50-17:20 Chris Sanders, (Sanders Research associates) NATO: Out of Area and Out of Oil - the war for energy and the end of free markets
17:20-17:50 Vittorio Prodi, (European Parliament) The European Perspective
17:50-18:15 Kjell Aleklett (President, ASPO international) and Colin Campbell (Honorary Chairman, ASPO international): Conclusion and final Remarks
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